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Risk Assessment and Analysis

Displaying 1 - 10 of 188

The western North American forestland carbon sink: will our climate commitments go up in smoke?

Year of Publication
2025
Publication Type

Pathways to achieving net-zero and net-negative greenhouse-gas (GHG) emission targets rely on land-based contributions to carbon (C) sequestration. However, projections of future contributions neglect to consider ecosystems, climate change, legacy impacts of continental-scale fire exclusion, forest accretion and densification, and a century or more of management.

Modeling Neighborhoods as Fuel for Wildfire: A Review

Year of Publication
2025
Publication Type

Wildfire’s destruction of homes is an increasingly serious global problem. Research indicates that characterizing home hardening and defensible space at the individual structure level may reduce loss through enriched understanding of structure susceptibility in the built environment. However, improved data and methods are required to accurately characterize these features at scale.

Are wildfire risk mitigators more prepared to evacuate? Insights from communities in the Western United States

Year of Publication
2025
Publication Type

As the realized experiences of wildfires threatening communities increase, the importance of proactive evacuation preparation and wildfire risk mitigation on private property to reduce the loss of lives and property is shaping wildfire policy and programs. To date, research has focused on pre-wildfire evacuation preparation and risk mitigation independently.

Compounding effects of climate change and WUI expansion quadruple the likelihood of extreme-impact wildfires in California

Year of Publication
2025
Publication Type

Previous research has examined individual factors contributing to wildfire risk, but the compounding effects of these factors remain underexplored. Here, we introduce the “Integrated Human-centric Wildfire Risk Index (IHWRI)” to quantify the compounding effects of fire-weather intensification and anthropogenic factors—including ignitions and human settlement into wildland—on wildfire risk.