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Correlations between components of the water balance and burned area reveal insights for predicting forest fire area in the southwest United States

Year of Publication
2014
Publication Type

We related measurements of annual burned area in the southwest United States during 1984–2013 to records of climate variability. Within forests, annual burned area correlated at least as strongly with spring–summer vapour pressure deficit (VPD) as with 14 other drought-related metrics, including more complex metrics that explicitly represent fuel moisture.